Statistics Profile

Alexander SICHITIU

2005

Research Triangle Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1703	1112 - 2293	1703	2143
Épée	Direct elimination	1785	610 - 2959	1785	2011
Foil	Pool	2837	2657 - 3016	2054	2911
Foil	Direct elimination	2991	2815 - 3166	2444	3078

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.