Statistics Profile

Julia Oledzka

2003

Illinois Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2317	1983 - 2650	1872	2604
Épée	Direct elimination	1831	953 - 2708	1791	2001
Foil	Pool	1581	1165 - 1996	1118	1581
Foil	Direct elimination	2174	1258 - 3089	1945	2302

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.