Statistics Profile

Agustin Stacey

2002

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2735	1939 - 3530	2735	2735
Épée	Direct elimination	2375	1136 - 3613	2375	2375
Foil	Pool	2213	1580 - 2845	2071	2213
Foil	Direct elimination	1820	630 - 3009	1820	1922

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.