Statistics Profile

Grecia Saucedo

2006

Phoenix Falcons Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2064	1882 - 2245	1336	2073
Épée	Direct elimination	2371	2123 - 2618	1862	3082
Foil	Pool	1556	854 - 2257	1260	1628
Foil	Direct elimination	1863	621 - 3104	1863	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.