Statistics Profile

William Crane

2005

University of Maryland Terrapin Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1388	804 - 1971	1388	1471
Épée	Direct elimination	1689	720 - 2657	1640	1689
Foil	Pool	1434	1100 - 1767	1178	1620
Foil	Direct elimination	1689	1076 - 2301	1689	2010

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.