Statistics Profile

Scott Green

1976

Bay Regional Fencing Alliance

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1315	1003 - 1626	1315	1805
Épée	Direct elimination	1640	936 - 2343	1493	1811
Foil	Pool	1425	784 - 2065	1425	1619
Foil	Direct elimination	1463	421 - 2504	1463	1954
Saber	Pool	1906	1471 - 2340	1906	2066
Saber	Direct elimination	1362	314 - 2409	1362	1446

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.