Statistics Profile

Cayden Cole

2003

City of Thunder FC

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2138	1556 - 2719	1510	2138
Épée	Direct elimination	1874	886 - 2861	1874	2002
Foil	Pool	1891	1524 - 2257	1819	2202
Foil	Direct elimination	1953	1032 - 2873	1775	1953

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.