Statistics Profile

Margaret Moncure

1973

Fencing Club Asheville

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1710	517 - 2902	1710	1710
Épée	Direct elimination	1805	583 - 3026	1805	1805
Foil	Pool	1171	405 - 1936	1171	1171
Foil	Direct elimination	2247	1137 - 3356	2247	2247

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.