Statistics Profile

Daniel Coward

1992

Fencing Institute Of Texas

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1783	1108 - 2457	1783	1783
Épée	Direct elimination	2167	728 - 3605	2167	2167
Foil	Pool	586	227 - 944	586	1179
Foil	Direct elimination	1409	587 - 2230	1409	2045

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.