Statistics Profile

Joseph Mastronardi

1983

Worcester Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1890	1644 - 2135	1841	1957
Épée	Direct elimination	1923	1444 - 2401	1784	2667
Foil	Pool	1550	1364 - 1735	1310	1865
Foil	Direct elimination	1923	1660 - 2185	1676	2156
Saber	Pool	958	197 - 1718	958	958
Saber	Direct elimination	1503	325 - 2680	1503	1503

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.