Statistics Profile

Kalnius Jakstas

2004

Salle Auriol Seattle

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1819	985 - 2652	1819	1819
Foil	Direct elimination	2239	910 - 3567	2239	2239
Saber	Pool	2112	1910 - 2313	1400	2195
Saber	Direct elimination	1961	1638 - 2283	1452	2221

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.