Statistics Profile

Carl Mai

1992

Xavier University Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1614	1425 - 1802	1613	2309
Épée	Direct elimination	1612	1305 - 1918	1417	2079
Foil	Pool	819	420 - 1217	612	819
Foil	Direct elimination	1216	422 - 2009	1216	1603
Saber	Pool	1877	1573 - 2180	1877	3322
Saber	Direct elimination	1989	1548 - 2429	1668	2241

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.