Statistics Profile

James Connell

1964

Masters Fencing Academy NJ Forte Fencing Club (NJ)

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1496	462 - 2529	1496	1496
Épée	Direct elimination	1758	450 - 3065	1758	1758
Foil	Pool	956	343 - 1568	956	1300
Foil	Direct elimination	1794	930 - 2657	1570	1921

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.