Statistics Profile

Anna Alice Patelli

2008

NMFC/Duke City Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1470	1289 - 1650	1344	1866
Épée	Direct elimination	1551	1242 - 1859	1411	2380
Foil	Pool	959	399 - 1518	959	1158
Foil	Direct elimination	1635	422 - 2847	1635	1635

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.