Statistics Profile

Sophia Li

2008

Birmingham Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2706	2171 - 3240	2689	2845
Épée	Direct elimination	2119	1302 - 2935	1791	2119
Foil	Pool	2451	2279 - 2622	2271	3138
Foil	Direct elimination	2767	2595 - 2938	2644	3344

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.