Statistics Profile

Nathan Wahl

1968

Nashville Academy of Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1529	1174 - 1883	1301	1698
Épée	Direct elimination	1747	1164 - 2329	1622	2139
Saber	Pool	1038	463 - 1612	1038	1351
Saber	Direct elimination	1407	318 - 2495	1407	1407

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.