Statistics Profile

Jackson Rains

2006

Silverlake Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1920	1365 - 2474	1920	2040
Épée	Direct elimination	1906	878 - 2933	1906	2119
Foil	Pool	1650	1446 - 1853	1201	1650
Foil	Direct elimination	2084	1734 - 2433	1523	2084

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.