Statistics Profile

Phillip Ritchie

1990

Phoenix Falcons Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2644	2418 - 2869	2481	2905
Épée	Direct elimination	3119	2809 - 3428	3054	3745
Foil	Pool	1515	1090 - 1939	1515	1774
Foil	Direct elimination	1812	976 - 2647	1812	1958
Saber	Pool	1737	988 - 2485	1737	1737
Saber	Direct elimination	1651	353 - 2948	1651	1651

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.