Statistics Profile

Damian Murphy

2000

Manchen Academy Of Fencing Masters Fencing Academy NJ

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2379	1648 - 3109	2379	2379
Épée	Direct elimination	2154	789 - 3518	2154	2154
Foil	Pool	1612	1442 - 1781	1607	1903
Foil	Direct elimination	1802	1602 - 2001	1519	1960

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.