Statistics Profile

Cameron Seal

2008

Valkyrie Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1873	1697 - 2048	1873	2652
Foil	Direct elimination	2126	1860 - 2391	2079	3150
Saber	Pool	1836	1667 - 2004	1700	2213
Saber	Direct elimination	2049	1830 - 2267	2044	3510

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.