Statistics Profile

Lavender Lee

2009

Top Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2270	2079 - 2460	1926	2294
Épée	Direct elimination	2687	2427 - 2946	2600	3247
Foil	Pool	2898	2710 - 3085	2323	3116
Foil	Direct elimination	3358	3187 - 3528	2502	3358

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.