Statistics Profile

Alexander Tang

2010

OnTarget Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2482	2305 - 2658	2071	2744
Foil	Direct elimination	2800	2631 - 2968	2388	3075
Saber	Pool	2655	1986 - 3323	2655	2655
Saber	Direct elimination	2802	1823 - 3780	2802	2802

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.