Statistics Profile

Donna Sell

1962

On Target Fencing Team

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1757	1044 - 2469	1757	1757
Épée	Direct elimination	2490	1305 - 3674	2490	2490
Foil	Pool	1730	1319 - 2140	1730	2496
Foil	Direct elimination	1580	478 - 2681	1580	1620

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.