Statistics Profile

Grayson Stone

2009

City of Thunder FC

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1845	1331 - 2358	1845	3451
Épée	Direct elimination	2065	1325 - 2804	2065	2639
Foil	Pool	2352	1842 - 2861	2010	2408
Foil	Direct elimination	1904	941 - 2866	1658	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.