Statistics Profile

Elijah Maier

1997

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1959	1603 - 2314	1959	2224
Épée	Direct elimination	2093	1521 - 2664	2093	2574
Foil	Pool	1005	377 - 1632	1005	1005
Foil	Direct elimination	1513	297 - 2728	1513	1513

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.