Statistics Profile

Troy Jones

2004

Miami University Fencing Ohio

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	972	104 - 1839	972	972
Épée	Direct elimination	1575	383 - 2766	1575	1575
Foil	Pool	1476	669 - 2282	1476	1476
Saber	Pool	1629	1100 - 2157	1629	1981
Saber	Direct elimination	1957	1069 - 2844	1766	1957

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.