Statistics Profile

Julia Oh

2009

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1642	1276 - 2007	1642	2095
Épée	Direct elimination	1923	1198 - 2647	1630	1991
Foil	Pool	1742	1314 - 2169	1354	1888
Foil	Direct elimination	1943	1213 - 2672	1943	2598

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.