Statistics Profile

Shelby Mitchell

2001

Valkyrie Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2133	1041 - 3224	2133	2133
Épée	Direct elimination	1996	698 - 3293	1996	1996
Foil	Direct elimination	1811	583 - 3038	1811	1811
Saber	Pool	3098	1875 - 4320	2871	3098
Saber	Direct elimination	3639	2686 - 4591	3639	3639

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.