Statistics Profile

Lawrence Han

2005

Medeo Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2752	2336 - 3167	2139	2752
Épée	Direct elimination	2834	2349 - 3318	2443	2834
Foil	Pool	2724	2555 - 2892	1987	2724
Foil	Direct elimination	2715	2492 - 2937	1902	2737

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.