Statistics Profile

Sam Docter

2003

University of Minnesota Fencing Club Northwest Indiana Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	519	0 - 1307	519	519
Foil	Direct elimination	1577	412 - 2741	1577	1577
Saber	Pool	3102	2535 - 3668	2881	3477
Saber	Direct elimination	3077	2370 - 3783	2803	3193

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.