Statistics Profile

Nicolas Aguilar

1996

Miami University Fencing Ohio

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2206	1965 - 2446	1224	2213
Épée	Direct elimination	2199	1844 - 2553	1470	2295
Foil	Pool	1435	924 - 1945	1435	1459
Foil	Direct elimination	2138	1244 - 3031	1660	2138

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.