Statistics Profile

Evan Viveros

1999

On Point Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1987	1541 - 2432	1946	1987
Épée	Direct elimination	1941	1156 - 2725	1941	2064
Foil	Pool	2175	1996 - 2353	1625	2375
Foil	Direct elimination	2686	2495 - 2876	1518	3055

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.