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Statistics Profile

Luhan Zhao

Verified
2004
New York University NCAA Philadelphia Fencers Club

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2663 2494 - 2831 1800 2764
Épée Direct elimination 2819 2632 - 3005 2079 2905
Foil Pool 1605 1119 - 2090 1272 1605
Foil Direct elimination 1932 1166 - 2697 1384 1932
Saber Pool 2047 1336 - 2757 2047 2047
Saber Direct elimination 2534 1284 - 3783 2534 2534

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.