Statistics Profile

Brian McDermott

2003
Rhode Island Fencing Academy And Club

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2531 2361 - 2700 2531 3003
Épée Direct elimination 2880 2697 - 3062 2569 3312
Foil Pool 2296 1394 - 3197 2296 2296
Foil Direct elimination 2932 1617 - 4246 2932 2932

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.