Statistics Profile

Brian McDermott

2003

Rhode Island Fencing Academy And Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2531	2361 - 2700	2531	3003
Épée	Direct elimination	2880	2697 - 3062	2569	3312
Foil	Pool	2296	1394 - 3197	2296	2296
Foil	Direct elimination	2932	1617 - 4246	2932	2932

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.