Statistics Profile

Noah Ferreira

2004

Worcester Polytechnic Inst

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2397	2223 - 2570	2397	2845
Épée	Direct elimination	2619	2369 - 2868	2195	2869
Foil	Pool	1552	766 - 2337	1552	1552
Foil	Direct elimination	1686	622 - 2749	1686	1686
Saber	Pool	1747	1111 - 2382	1663	1747
Saber	Direct elimination	1301	279 - 2322	1301	1766

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.