Statistics Profile

Nikita Swenson

2007

University Of Notre Dame NCAA

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2460	2291 - 2628	2155	2720
Épée	Direct elimination	2825	2656 - 2993	2295	2875
Foil	Pool	1410	837 - 1982	1410	1989
Foil	Direct elimination	1829	556 - 3101	1829	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.