Statistics Profile

Koen Schenck

2004

Space Coast Olympic Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	3369	2545 - 4192	3216	3369
Épée	Direct elimination	2673	2024 - 3321	2129	2673
Foil	Pool	3135	2961 - 3308	2780	3289
Foil	Direct elimination	3265	3091 - 3438	2226	3409

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.