Statistics Profile

Mason Choi

2007

LEO Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2609	2439 - 2778	1800	2724
Épée	Direct elimination	2895	2728 - 3061	1611	2895
Foil	Pool	2607	2154 - 3059	2509	2714
Foil	Direct elimination	2229	1461 - 2996	1864	2229

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.