Statistics Profile

David Andrew Semos

1949

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1216	399 - 2032	1216	1216
Foil	Direct elimination	1699	469 - 2928	1699	1699
Saber	Pool	739	0 - 1481	739	739
Saber	Direct elimination	2105	964 - 3245	2105	2105

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.