Statistics Profile

Ark Ma

2004

Alliance Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	3344	3163 - 3524	2984	3443
Épée	Direct elimination	3763	3576 - 3949	2079	3806
Foil	Pool	2159	1279 - 3038	2159	2159
Foil	Direct elimination	1874	635 - 3112	1874	1874

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.