Statistics Profile

Willem Joseph

Verified
1998
East Coast Fencing Club

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2223 1864 - 2581 2182 2394
Épée Direct elimination 2707 2249 - 3164 2670 3188
Foil Pool 2641 2460 - 2821 2451 2933
Foil Direct elimination 2862 2663 - 3060 2675 3090
Saber Pool 2921 1482 - 4359 2921 2921
Saber Direct elimination 2012 640 - 3383 2012 2012

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

Register to view this matchup

Create a free account with your USFA number to unlock projected win chances and strength changes.

Create account Log in

Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.