Statistics Profile

Jason Gatza

2010

Orlando Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1414	1213 - 1614	1414	1703
Épée	Direct elimination	2150	1788 - 2511	1954	2428
Foil	Pool	1206	948 - 1463	1206	2763
Foil	Direct elimination	1777	1276 - 2277	1629	2520
Saber	Pool	1321	949 - 1692	1224	1934
Saber	Direct elimination	1674	888 - 2459	1437	2504

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.