Statistics Profile

Michelle Xu

1981

LE CLUB TOUCHE

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1112	654 - 1569	710	1131
Foil	Direct elimination	1585	476 - 2693	1585	1940
Saber	Pool	2179	1767 - 2590	2179	2419
Saber	Direct elimination	2480	1693 - 3266	2480	2592

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.