Statistics Profile

Hal Roach

1961

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1177	722 - 1631	1161	1323
Épée	Direct elimination	1138	128 - 2147	1138	1223
Saber	Pool	1366	890 - 1841	1140	1461
Saber	Direct elimination	1363	364 - 2361	1363	2181

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.