Statistics Profile

Madelynn Van Vacter (Maddy)

2008
Alamo Fencing Academy
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Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1871 1699 - 2042 1826 2915
Épée Direct elimination 2172 1996 - 2347 1951 2759
Foil Pool 1110 439 - 1780 1110 1110
Foil Direct elimination 1534 379 - 2688 1534 1534
Saber Pool 274 0 - 817 274 520
Saber Direct elimination 1245 158 - 2331 1245 1337

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.