Statistics Profile

Abigail Alton

2004

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1770	1024 - 2515	1770	1770
Épée	Direct elimination	1910	547 - 3272	1910	1910
Foil	Pool	3239	2208 - 4269	3239	3239
Foil	Direct elimination	3426	2288 - 4563	3426	3426

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.