Statistics Profile

Justin Campbell

2001

Clemson University Fencing Club Charlotte Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2354	2150 - 2557	1747	2447
Foil	Direct elimination	2296	2089 - 2502	1619	2401
Saber	Pool	2120	1607 - 2632	2036	2432
Saber	Direct elimination	2102	1562 - 2641	2102	2465

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.