Statistics Profile

Ashley Katze

2000

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1946	1097 - 2794	1826	2909
Épée	Direct elimination	1898	591 - 3204	1898	1898
Foil	Pool	1746	1495 - 1996	1709	2436
Foil	Direct elimination	2087	1555 - 2618	2087	3373
Saber	Pool	1602	1293 - 1910	1602	2151
Saber	Direct elimination	2188	1648 - 2727	2047	2313

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.