Statistics Profile

Advaith Prasanna

2004

Austin Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2355	2182 - 2527	1548	2440
Foil	Direct elimination	2243	2015 - 2470	1348	2278
Saber	Pool	1816	1441 - 2190	1502	2074
Saber	Direct elimination	1588	752 - 2423	1588	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.