Statistics Profile

Caedmon Cortright

2008
Alliance Fencing Academy

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2283 2092 - 2473 1997 2477
Épée Direct elimination 2431 2185 - 2676 2329 2819
Saber Pool 1485 1087 - 1882 1485 1986
Saber Direct elimination 1241 359 - 2122 1241 1832

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

Log in to compare your projected matchup, or create an account with your USFA number to enable it.

Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.